Press release NIDI-KNAW

In 2050, there will be two to three times as many people over 80 as there are today

29 April 2021

The number of people aged 80 or over is expected to rise from over 800 thousand in 2021 to between 1.5 and 2.6 million in 2050. The population aged 20 to 65 will grow at a much lower rate or even shrink. As a result, in 2050 there will be between 4 - 7 people aged between 20 and 65 for every person over 80, compared with 12 in 2021. This is evident from the final report of the Verkenning Bevolking 2050 (Population Study 2050) by the Demographic Institute NIDI and Statistics Netherlands (CBS).

For the study Verkenning Bevolking 2050 commissioned by the Dutch Ministry of Social Affairs and Employment, future population variants were drawn up, each assuming a different development of birth rates, life expectancy and international migration. These variants are a supplement to the population forecast of Statistics Netherlands. In July 2020, the results of the variants were published, today the final report is being issued.

Read the entire message on the NIDI-KNAW website (in Dutch).

Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI) 

The Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI) conducts research on population issues and makes demographic expertise available to researchers, policymakers and the public. The purpose of this research is to describe, analyse and explain past and present demographic trends and to forecast future trends. NIDI typically takes an interdisciplinary and international approach to its research, in which it focuses on the following three themes:

  • migration and integration
  • labour market and social security
  • ageing and family relationships

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